October 29 2016 @ 12:00 PM ET
NCAA | Louisville at Virginia

Louisville

(6-1) (4-1)
Game Log

Virginia

(2-5) (1-2)
Game Log
Line: UL -31.5
O/U: 69
Charlottesville, VA
Game Preview

NCAA Team Rankings

What's this?
Louisville Virginia
#7 Rush Off #118
#14 Pass Off #35
#2 Total Off #89
#1 Score Off #85
#35 Sks Allowed #87
#20 Rush Def #72
#20 Pass Def #114
#12 Total Def #109
#38 Score Def #101
#57 Sks By #75
#1 YPG Diff #109
-1 Total TO’s

Phil Steele's Rankings

What's this?
Louisville Virginia
#2 Team Offense #68
#10 Team Defense #60
#73 Special Teams #81
#14 Experience Rankings #33
#16 Strength of Schedule #35

Offensive Averages

What's this?

Louisville

Virginia

Conf. Overall Overall Conf.
44-290 42-285 Rushing Yards 31-116 33-97
6.6 6.7 Yards Per Carry 3.7 2.9
303 332 Passing Yards 268 252
57.2% 59.2% Completion Percentage 55.5% 49.2%
26 29 First Downs 21 18
6.6% 4.9% Sacks Allowed 6.2% 6.1%

Defensive Averages

What's this?

Louisville

Virginia

Conf. Overall Overall Conf.
36-126 36-118 Rushing Yards 39-171 39-164
3.5 3.3 Yards Per Carry 4.3 4.3
215 185 Passing Yards 285 257
51.5% 51.4% Completion Percentage 62.7% 64.2%
18 17 First Downs 23 23
6.1% 7.3% Sacks Allowed 5.8% 4.7%

Position by Position Edge

What's this?
Louisville Virginia
2.40 QB/WR’s vs. DB's
0.49 RB’s vs. LB’s
1.58 OL's vs. DL's
1.10 DL’s vs. OL's
1.32 LB’s vs. RB’s
1.56 DB's vs. QB/WR's
ST's vs. ST's 0.24
0.60 K vs. K
1.3 Coaches vs. Coaches
10.34 Pts vs. Pts 0.24
Positional Edge Awarded to
Louisville By 10.10 Points

Team Leaders

What's this?
Louisville Virginia
Passing Leaders
Lamar Jackson 134-230-2161-18-4 Kurt Benkert 158-276-1859-14-7
Kyle Bolin 11-15-160-2-1 Matt Johns 2-2-13-1-0
Rushing Leaders
Lamar Jackson 130-908-7.0-16 Taquan Mizzell 83-461-5.6-4
Brandon Radcliff 71-551-7.8-3 Albert Reid 78-366-4.7-6
Receiving Leaders
James Quick 32-523-16.3-4 Olamide Zaccheaus 31-439-14.2-5
Jamari Staples 22-426-19.4-1 Keeon Johnson 34-323-9.5-3

Last Five Years Meetings

What's this?
Year Team Rank Line Score FD Rushing Comp-Att-Yds TO’s
2015 UVA - 48 31 22 31-94 25-41-260
UL - -13.5 38 23 37-266 11-22-159 -1
2014 UVA - 47 23 13 40-114 16-30-171
UL 21 -5.5 21 17 27-79 20-43-203 -1

Phil's Computer Projected Box Score

What's this?
Louisville Virginia
253 yards Projected Rushing 91 yards
351 yards Projected Passing 196 yards
604 yards Projected Yardage Total 286 yards
50 points Projected Final Score 21 points
Phil's Ratings
Louisville By 18.5
Phil's Game Grade
Louisville By 35.6

Phil's Forecast

What's this?

The HT is 2-0 SU and UVA is 2-0 ATS in ACC play. LY UVA was +13’ on the road and it was 24-24 with 10:14 left. UVA fmbl’d the punt and UL would go on to a 38-31 win. UVA is coming off a 35-14 (+10’) home loss to NC. UVA was outg’d by 235 yds & held to a ssn low 253 yds. UL is coming off a 54-13 (-19’) home win vs NCSt. QB Jackson put up more Heisman like numbers with 355 pass, 76 (4.5) rush and 4 td’s. UL’s 553 yds was the most NCSt has all’d all ssn which is the 5th time UL has done that TY. UL is +314 ypg vs my #16 sked while UVA is -72 vs my #35 sked. This is UVA’s 3rd str home gm while UL is on the road for the 1st time in 4 wks. I’ll call for L’Ville to keep up their DD wins TW.

Virginia Game Log

What's this?
Date Foe Foe Record Foe Conf. Record Score W/L
09/11/2016 Saints 0-0 0-0 35-34 L
09/18/2016 Giants 1-0 0-0 13-16 L
09/26/2016 Saints 0-2 0-0 45-32 L
10/16/2016 Saints 1-3 0-1 38-41 L
10/23/2016 Chiefs 3-2 2-0 21-27 L
10/30/2016 Saints 2-4 1-1 20-25 L
11/06/2016 49ers 1-6 1-2 41-23 L
11/13/2016 Saints 4-4 1-1 25-23 L
11/17/2016 Panthers 3-6 0-3 20-23 L
11/27/2016 Saints 4-6 1-2 21-49 L
12/04/2016 Saints 5-6 1-2 28-13 L
12/11/2016 Buccaneers 7-5 2-1 11-16 L
12/18/2016 Cardinals 5-7 2-1 48-41 L

Phil Steele Opponent Ranking

What's this?
Team Score Off Def ST
Saints 35/34 27 25 14
Giants 13/16 11 23 7
Saints 45/32 9 32 30
Saints 38/41 3 32 23
Chiefs 21/27 14 7 21
Saints 20/25 2 31 17
49ers 41/23 32 32 27
Saints 25/23 #2 #31 #19
Panthers 20/23 #16 #13 #25
Saints 21/49 #2 #28 #3
Saints 28/13 #1 #29 #24
Buccaneers 11/16 #9 #7 #15
Cardinals 48/41 #11 #6 #32

Offensive Game Log

What's this?
Team Score FD RA-RY YPC Comp-Att Yds Pass Sks
Saints 35/34 25 26-167 6.4 24-38 319 0
Giants 13/16 16 13-41 3.2 29-44 247 2
Saints 45/32 26 31-217 7 20-30 225 2
Saints 38/41 32 27-103 3.8 27-47 303 2
Chiefs 21/27 27 22-104 4.7 37-48 359 1
Saints 20/25 15 17-74 4.4 23-36 285 1
49ers 41/23 29 42-248 5.9 28-39 323 1
Saints 25/23 24 37-103 2.8 25-40 234 6
Panthers 20/23 28 25-107 4.3 35-44 264 3
Saints 21/49 13 17-69 4.1 20-32 178 3
Saints 28/13 24 23-85 3.7 30-42 337 2
Buccaneers 11/16 14 16-48 2.9 25-41 248 1
Cardinals 48/41 33 32-130 4.1 27-48 358 3
Overall 21 31-116 3.7 55.5% 268 6.2%
Conf. 18 33-97 2.9 49.2% 252 6.1%
home 21 28-99 3.6 56.5% 277 5.4%

Defensive Game Log

What's this?
Team Score FD RA-RY YPC Comp-Att Yds Pass Sks
Saints 35/34 27 22-88 4 28-42 419 1
Giants 13/16 22 32-64 2 32-41 353 2
Saints 45/32 32 23-115 5 36-54 359 2
Saints 38/41 23 21-63 3 34-49 460 1
Chiefs 21/27 20 28-112 4 17-24 214 0
Saints 20/25 28 35-123 3.5 27-35 252 2
49ers 41/23 19 17-93 5.5 24-39 393 1
Saints 25/23 19 21-80 3.8 21-29 293 1
Panthers 20/23 17 27-50 1.9 14-33 173 2
Saints 21/49 27 32-209 6.5 29-37 346 2
Saints 28/13 20 12-50 4.2 31-44 319 1
Buccaneers 11/16 21 35-104 3 16-26 166 2
Cardinals 48/41 26 15-116 7.7 28-40 309 1
Overall 23 39-171 4.3 62.7% 285 5.8%
Conf. 23 39-164 4.3 64.2% 257 4.7%
home 23 40-167 4.2 63.6% 297 6.1%

Net Yards

What's this?
Team Yards FD TO's
Saints -21 -2 1
Giants -129 -6 3
Saints -32 -6 2
Saints -117 9 -1
Chiefs 137 7 -2
Saints -16 -13 0
49ers 85 10 4
Saints -36 5 2
Panthers 148 11 -2
Saints -308 -14 -1
Saints 53 4 3
Buccaneers 24 -7 -3
Cardinals 63 7 1
Overall -72.1 -1.6 0.0
Conf. -72.3 -5.0 1.7
home -87.8 -2.0 -1.0

Louisville Game Log

What's this?
Date Foe Foe Record Foe Conf. Record Score W/L
09/12/2016 49ers 0-0 0-0 0-28 L
09/18/2016 Rams 0-1 0-1 3-9 L
09/25/2016 Buccaneers 1-1 1-0 37-32 L
10/09/2016 Rams 3-1 3-1 30-19 L
10/16/2016 Lions 2-3 0-2 28-31 L
10/23/2016 Rams 3-3 2-1 17-10 L
11/06/2016 Rams 3-4 2-1 13-10 L
11/13/2016 Jets 3-6 1-1 9-6 L
11/20/2016 Rams 4-5 2-1 14-10 L
11/27/2016 Saints 4-6 1-2 21-49 L
12/04/2016 Patriots 9-2 3-1 10-26 L
12/11/2016 Rams 4-8 2-1 42-14 L
12/15/2016 Seahawks 8-4 1-1 3-24 L

Phil Steele Opponent Rankings

What's this?
Team Score Off Def ST
49ers 0/28 31 26 31
Rams 3/9 31 15 6
Buccaneers 37/32 10 15 26
Rams 30/19 32 14 2
Lions 28/31 24 26 1
Rams 17/10 31 14 3
Rams 13/10 31 11 4
Jets 9/6 #23 #13 #25
Rams 14/10 #32 #6 #4
Saints 21/49 #2 #28 #3
Patriots 10/26 #6 #10 #13
Rams 42/14 #31 #10 #4
Seahawks 3/24 #17 #2 #17

Offensive Game Log

What's this?
Team Score FD RA-RY YPC Comp-Att Yds Pass Sks
49ers 0/28 10 23-65 2.8 17-35 120 2
Rams 3/9 17 24-67 2.8 22-35 239 2
Buccaneers 37/32 18 33-137 4.2 14-26 183 1
Rams 30/19 15 27-193 7.1 12-23 112 2
Lions 28/31 23 22-76 3.5 27-32 311 1
Rams 17/10 13 20-36 1.8 24-37 196 0
Rams 13/10 16 25-59 2.4 20-32 185 5
Jets 9/6 16 34-125 3.7 17-30 155 3
Rams 14/10 17 19-98 5.2 24-34 142 4
Saints 21/49 13 17-69 4.1 20-32 178 3
Patriots 10/26 7 13-86 2.8 14-32 125 4
Rams 42/14 18 25-66 2.6 18-30 220 2
Seahawks 3/24 13 11-47 4.3 18-35 136 4
Overall 29 42-285 6.7 59.2% 332 4.9%
Conf. 26 44-290 6.6 57.2% 303 6.6%
away 31 46-320 7.0 56.3% 381 5.5%

Defensive Game Log

What's this?
Team Score FD RA-RY YPC Comp-Att Yds Pass Sks
49ers 0/28 28 42-150 3.6 22-35 170 0
Rams 3/9 17 25-64 2.6 19-30 219 3
Buccaneers 37/32 30 22-83 3.8 26-58 389 2
Rams 30/19 23 29-102 3.5 21-31 243 4
Lions 28/31 20 26-83 3.2 23-31 265 1
Rams 17/10 20 20-74 3.7 32-53 271 3
Rams 13/10 18 17-59 3.5 27-46 280 4
Jets 9/6 17 25-139 5.6 19-32 157 1
Rams 14/10 12 28-102 3.6 17-31 125 1
Saints 21/49 27 32-209 6.5 29-37 346 2
Patriots 10/26 20 29-133 4.6 33-46 269 0
Rams 42/14 21 23-104 4.5 24-41 208 3
Seahawks 3/24 19 30-72 2.4 19-26 227 2
Overall 17 36-118 3.3 51.4% 185 7.3%
Conf. 18 36-126 3.5 51.5% 215 6.1%
away 22 38-161 4.2 53.3% 219 5.7%

Net Yards

What's this?
Team Yards FD TO's
49ers -135 -18 -1
Rams 23 0 -1
Buccaneers -152 -12 0
Rams -40 -8 3
Lions 39 3 -1
Rams -113 -7 2
Rams -95 -2 1
Jets -16 -1 1
Rams 13 5 0
Saints -308 -14 -1
Patriots -241 -13 -2
Rams -26 -3 5
Seahawks -116 -6 1
Overall 313.9 11.6 -0.1
Conf. 251.8 7.6 0.4
away 321.0 9.3 0.0

By Game Yardage Leaders

What's this?
Opponent Passing Leaders
49ers C. Keenum 17-35-130-0-2
Rams R. Wilson 22-35-254-0-0
Buccaneers C. Keenum 14-26-190-2-1
Rams
Lions
Rams
Rams
Jets
Rams
Saints
Patriots
Rams
Seahawks

By Game Yardage Leaders

What's this?
Opponent Rushing Leaders
49ers T. Gurley 17-47-2.8-0
Rams C. Michael 10-60-0.0-0
Buccaneers T. Gurley 27-85-3.1-2
Rams
Lions
Rams
Rams
Jets
Rams
Saints
Patriots
Rams
Seahawks

By Game Yardage Leaders

What's this?
Opponent Receiving Leaders
49ers K. Britt 4-67-16.8-0
Rams T. Lockett 4-99-0.0-0
Buccaneers T. Austin 5-82-16.4-1
Rams
Lions
Rams
Rams
Jets
Rams
Saints
Patriots
Rams
Seahawks

Phil's Pick

Virginia 21

Louisville 50