October 28 2016 @ 07:00 PM ET
NCAA | Navy at USF

Navy

(5-1) (4-)
Game Log

USF

(6-2) (3-1)
Game Log
Line: USF -7.5
O/U: 63
Tampa, FL
Game Preview

NCAA Team Rankings

What's this?
Navy USF
#5 Rush Off #13
#124 Pass Off #66
#63 Total Off #22
#40 Score Off #11
#53 Sks Allowed #35
#51 Rush Def #100
#94 Pass Def #84
#64 Total Def #104
#49 Score Def #73
#91 Sks By #22
#66 YPG Diff #54
+1 Total TO’s +2

Phil Steele's Rankings

What's this?
Navy USF
#57 Team Offense #25
#98 Team Defense #47
#56 Special Teams #41
#127 Experience Rankings #57
#75 Strength of Schedule #62

Offensive Averages

What's this?

Navy

USF

Conf. Overall Overall Conf.
61-319 56-293 Rushing Yards 42-256 43-253
5.3 5.3 Yards Per Carry 6.1 6.0
88 122 Passing Yards 231 220
58.6% 59.4% Completion Percentage 59.3% 64.7%
22 20 First Downs 23 23
17.2% 21.9% Sacks Allowed 5.3% 5.0%

Defensive Averages

What's this?

Navy

USF

Conf. Overall Overall Conf.
36-138 39-148 Rushing Yards 46-206 39-172
3.8 3.8 Yards Per Carry 4.5 4.4
244 256 Passing Yards 241 272
65.1% 62.4% Completion Percentage 57.3% 58.6%
21 21 First Downs 24 23
7.0% 6.3% Sacks Allowed 7.0% 7.6%

Position by Position Edge

What's this?
Navy USF
QB/WR’s vs. DB's 0.58
0.55 RB’s vs. LB’s
OL's vs. DL's 0.29
DL’s vs. OL's 1.28
LB’s vs. RB’s 0.82
DB's vs. QB/WR's 2.40
0.59 ST's vs. ST's
K vs. K 1.02
1.45 Coaches vs. Coaches
2.59 Pts vs. Pts 6.39
Positional Edge Awarded to
USF By 3.79 Points

Team Leaders

What's this?
Navy USF
Passing Leaders
Will Worth 37-62-688-5-2 Quinton Flowers 117-200-1717-15-5
Tago Smith 1-1-45-0-0 Brett Kean 17-25-131-2-1
Rushing Leaders
Will Worth 134-487-3.6-9 Quinton Flowers 108-745-6.9-8
Chris High 55-392-7.1-5 Marlon Mack 97-659-6.8-10
Receiving Leaders
Jamir Tillman 19-286-15.1-1 Rodney Adams 34-502-14.8-4
Darryl Bonner 3-94-31.3-1 Marquez Valdes-Scantling 16-278-17.4-3

Last Five Years Meetings

What's this?
Year Team Rank Line Score FD Rushing Comp-Att-Yds TO’s
2015 USF - 50.5 17 9 24-62 12-20-208
NAVY - -7 29 22 69-428 3-9-16 0

Phil's Computer Projected Box Score

What's this?
Navy USF
322 yards Projected Rushing 226 yards
59 yards Projected Passing 292 yards
381 yards Projected Yardage Total 517 yards
30 points Projected Final Score 40 points
Phil's Ratings
USF By 2.0
Phil's Game Grade
USF By 12.0

Phil's Forecast

What's this?

LY in their 1st ever mtg, USF ret’d the opening KO 97 yds for a td but Navy would win 29-17 (-7). USF all’d 428 (6.2) rush. Navy’s option usually plays its best ball in the 2H of the yr & in the L4Y Navy avg 27.4 ppg in their F/6 gms of the ssn & 39.6 ppg in their L/5 prior to Army. Navy is off a 42-28 (+2’) upset win over Memphis, finishing w/a 531-431 yd edge. QB Worth hit 3 of 4 passes for 85 yds & ran for 201 (6.5), becoming the 1st Middie w/over 200 rush s/Keenan Reynolds in 2004. Navy is avg 293 (5.3) rush ypg, while USF is all’g 206 (4.5). USF enters off a 46-30 (-6’) loss at Temple last Fri, getting out FD’d 26-18 & outg’d 528-352 incl all’g 319 (7.3) rush. QB Flowers inj his hamstring (but appears to be ok). Navy is on their 3rd road game in 5 wks playing on a short week and has ND on deck, while USF is ply'g a 9th str wk. The Middies OFF does better in the 2H of the ssn & that is proving true again TY as they avg 17.6 ppg their F/3 gms vs FBS foes & 44 ppg their L/2! LW my computer liked Mem, but I liked Navy. I’ll call for Navy to keep this a tad closer than the Vegas experts think.

USF Game Log

What's this?
Date Foe Foe Record Foe Conf. Record Score W/L
09/11/2016 Saints 0-0 0-0 35-34 L
09/18/2016 Giants 1-0 0-0 13-16 L
09/26/2016 Saints 0-2 0-0 45-32 L
10/16/2016 Saints 1-3 0-1 38-41 L
10/23/2016 Chiefs 3-2 2-0 21-27 L
10/30/2016 Saints 2-4 1-1 20-25 L
11/06/2016 49ers 1-6 1-2 41-23 L
11/13/2016 Saints 4-4 1-1 25-23 L
11/17/2016 Panthers 3-6 0-3 20-23 L
11/27/2016 Saints 4-6 1-2 21-49 L
12/04/2016 Saints 5-6 1-2 28-13 L
12/11/2016 Buccaneers 7-5 2-1 11-16 L
12/18/2016 Cardinals 5-7 2-1 48-41 L

Phil Steele Opponent Ranking

What's this?
Team Score Off Def ST
Saints 35/34 27 25 14
Giants 13/16 11 23 7
Saints 45/32 9 32 30
Saints 38/41 3 32 23
Chiefs 21/27 14 7 21
Saints 20/25 2 31 17
49ers 41/23 32 32 27
Saints 25/23 #2 #31 #19
Panthers 20/23 #16 #13 #25
Saints 21/49 #2 #28 #3
Saints 28/13 #1 #29 #24
Buccaneers 11/16 #9 #7 #15
Cardinals 48/41 #11 #6 #32

Offensive Game Log

What's this?
Team Score FD RA-RY YPC Comp-Att Yds Pass Sks
Saints 35/34 25 26-167 6.4 24-38 319 0
Giants 13/16 16 13-41 3.2 29-44 247 2
Saints 45/32 26 31-217 7 20-30 225 2
Saints 38/41 32 27-103 3.8 27-47 303 2
Chiefs 21/27 27 22-104 4.7 37-48 359 1
Saints 20/25 15 17-74 4.4 23-36 285 1
49ers 41/23 29 42-248 5.9 28-39 323 1
Saints 25/23 24 37-103 2.8 25-40 234 6
Panthers 20/23 28 25-107 4.3 35-44 264 3
Saints 21/49 13 17-69 4.1 20-32 178 3
Saints 28/13 24 23-85 3.7 30-42 337 2
Buccaneers 11/16 14 16-48 2.9 25-41 248 1
Cardinals 48/41 33 32-130 4.1 27-48 358 3
Overall 23 42-256 6.1 59.3% 231 5.3%
Conf. 23 43-253 6.0 64.7% 220 5.0%
home 24 44-284 6.4 60.4% 244 4.2%

Defensive Game Log

What's this?
Team Score FD RA-RY YPC Comp-Att Yds Pass Sks
Saints 35/34 27 22-88 4 28-42 419 1
Giants 13/16 22 32-64 2 32-41 353 2
Saints 45/32 32 23-115 5 36-54 359 2
Saints 38/41 23 21-63 3 34-49 460 1
Chiefs 21/27 20 28-112 4 17-24 214 0
Saints 20/25 28 35-123 3.5 27-35 252 2
49ers 41/23 19 17-93 5.5 24-39 393 1
Saints 25/23 19 21-80 3.8 21-29 293 1
Panthers 20/23 17 27-50 1.9 14-33 173 2
Saints 21/49 27 32-209 6.5 29-37 346 2
Saints 28/13 20 12-50 4.2 31-44 319 1
Buccaneers 11/16 21 35-104 3 16-26 166 2
Cardinals 48/41 26 15-116 7.7 28-40 309 1
Overall 24 46-206 4.5 57.3% 241 7.0%
Conf. 23 39-172 4.4 58.6% 272 7.6%
home 23 45-200 4.5 54.7% 222 8.4%

Net Yards

What's this?
Team Yards FD TO's
Saints -21 -2 1
Giants -129 -6 3
Saints -32 -6 2
Saints -117 9 -1
Chiefs 137 7 -2
Saints -16 -13 0
49ers 85 10 4
Saints -36 5 2
Panthers 148 11 -2
Saints -308 -14 -1
Saints 53 4 3
Buccaneers 24 -7 -3
Cardinals 63 7 1
Overall 39.5 -0.8 0.3
Conf. 29.0 0.3 -0.3
home 105.2 1.6 -0.8

Navy Game Log

What's this?
Date Foe Foe Record Foe Conf. Record Score W/L
09/12/2016 49ers 0-0 0-0 0-28 L
09/18/2016 Rams 0-1 0-1 3-9 L
09/25/2016 Buccaneers 1-1 1-0 37-32 L
10/09/2016 Rams 3-1 3-1 30-19 L
10/16/2016 Lions 2-3 0-2 28-31 L
10/23/2016 Rams 3-3 2-1 17-10 L
11/06/2016 Rams 3-4 2-1 13-10 L
11/13/2016 Jets 3-6 1-1 9-6 L
11/20/2016 Rams 4-5 2-1 14-10 L
11/27/2016 Saints 4-6 1-2 21-49 L
12/04/2016 Patriots 9-2 3-1 10-26 L
12/11/2016 Rams 4-8 2-1 42-14 L
12/15/2016 Seahawks 8-4 1-1 3-24 L

Phil Steele Opponent Rankings

What's this?
Team Score Off Def ST
49ers 0/28 31 26 31
Rams 3/9 31 15 6
Buccaneers 37/32 10 15 26
Rams 30/19 32 14 2
Lions 28/31 24 26 1
Rams 17/10 31 14 3
Rams 13/10 31 11 4
Jets 9/6 #23 #13 #25
Rams 14/10 #32 #6 #4
Saints 21/49 #2 #28 #3
Patriots 10/26 #6 #10 #13
Rams 42/14 #31 #10 #4
Seahawks 3/24 #17 #2 #17

Offensive Game Log

What's this?
Team Score FD RA-RY YPC Comp-Att Yds Pass Sks
49ers 0/28 10 23-65 2.8 17-35 120 2
Rams 3/9 17 24-67 2.8 22-35 239 2
Buccaneers 37/32 18 33-137 4.2 14-26 183 1
Rams 30/19 15 27-193 7.1 12-23 112 2
Lions 28/31 23 22-76 3.5 27-32 311 1
Rams 17/10 13 20-36 1.8 24-37 196 0
Rams 13/10 16 25-59 2.4 20-32 185 5
Jets 9/6 16 34-125 3.7 17-30 155 3
Rams 14/10 17 19-98 5.2 24-34 142 4
Saints 21/49 13 17-69 4.1 20-32 178 3
Patriots 10/26 7 13-86 2.8 14-32 125 4
Rams 42/14 18 25-66 2.6 18-30 220 2
Seahawks 3/24 13 11-47 4.3 18-35 136 4
Overall 20 56-293 5.3 59.4% 122 21.9%
Conf. 22 61-319 5.3 58.6% 88 17.2%
away 20 47-172 3.7 51.2% 160 20.9%

Defensive Game Log

What's this?
Team Score FD RA-RY YPC Comp-Att Yds Pass Sks
49ers 0/28 28 42-150 3.6 22-35 170 0
Rams 3/9 17 25-64 2.6 19-30 219 3
Buccaneers 37/32 30 22-83 3.8 26-58 389 2
Rams 30/19 23 29-102 3.5 21-31 243 4
Lions 28/31 20 26-83 3.2 23-31 265 1
Rams 17/10 20 20-74 3.7 32-53 271 3
Rams 13/10 18 17-59 3.5 27-46 280 4
Jets 9/6 17 25-139 5.6 19-32 157 1
Rams 14/10 12 28-102 3.6 17-31 125 1
Saints 21/49 27 32-209 6.5 29-37 346 2
Patriots 10/26 20 29-133 4.6 33-46 269 0
Rams 42/14 21 23-104 4.5 24-41 208 3
Seahawks 3/24 19 30-72 2.4 19-26 227 2
Overall 21 39-148 3.8 62.4% 256 6.3%
Conf. 21 36-138 3.8 65.1% 244 7.0%
away 16 50-207 4.1 40.7% 139 7.4%

Net Yards

What's this?
Team Yards FD TO's
49ers -135 -18 -1
Rams 23 0 -1
Buccaneers -152 -12 0
Rams -40 -8 3
Lions 39 3 -1
Rams -113 -7 2
Rams -95 -2 1
Jets -16 -1 1
Rams 13 5 0
Saints -308 -14 -1
Patriots -241 -13 -2
Rams -26 -3 5
Seahawks -116 -6 1
Overall 11.3 -0.8 0.0
Conf. 23.8 0.3 0.5
away -14.0 3.5 -2.0

By Game Yardage Leaders

What's this?
Opponent Passing Leaders
49ers C. Keenum 17-35-130-0-2
Rams R. Wilson 22-35-254-0-0
Buccaneers C. Keenum 14-26-190-2-1
Rams
Lions
Rams
Rams
Jets
Rams
Saints
Patriots
Rams
Seahawks

By Game Yardage Leaders

What's this?
Opponent Rushing Leaders
49ers T. Gurley 17-47-2.8-0
Rams C. Michael 10-60-0.0-0
Buccaneers T. Gurley 27-85-3.1-2
Rams
Lions
Rams
Rams
Jets
Rams
Saints
Patriots
Rams
Seahawks

By Game Yardage Leaders

What's this?
Opponent Receiving Leaders
49ers K. Britt 4-67-16.8-0
Rams T. Lockett 4-99-0.0-0
Buccaneers T. Austin 5-82-16.4-1
Rams
Lions
Rams
Rams
Jets
Rams
Saints
Patriots
Rams
Seahawks

Phil's Pick

USF 40

Navy 35