October 30 2016 @ 01:00 PM ET
NFL | Patriots at Bills

Patriots

(6-1) (1-1)
Game Log

Bills

(4-3) (1-2)
Game Log
Line: NE -5.5
O/U: 47
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Game Preview

NFL Team Rankings

What's this?
Patriots Bills
6 Rush Off 2
11 Pass Off 31
7 Total Off 25
10 Score Off 6
9 Sks Allowed 22
11 Rush Def 28
20 Pass Def 11
14 Total Def 18
4 Score Def 8
24 Sks By 2
6 YPG Diff 27
3 Total TO’s 9

Phil Steele's Rankings

What's this?
Patriots Bills
3 Team Offense 10
5 Team Defense 9
9 Special Teams 11
Experience Rankings
22 Strength of Schedule 23

Offensive Averages

What's this?

Patriots

Bills

Conf. Overall Overall Conf.
30-126 31-123 Rushing Yards 29-152 24-96
4.2 4 Yards Per Carry 5.3 3.9
246 261 Passing Yards 175 250
21-32 22-31 Completion Percentage 19-26 25-28
21 21 First Downs 18 19
7.9% 5.5% Sacks Allowed 9.3% 7.1%

Defensive Averages

What's this?

Patriots

Bills

Conf. Overall Overall Conf.
24-102 24-92 Rushing Yards 30-129 33-156
4.3 3.8 Yards Per Carry 4.4 4.7
317 259 Passing Yards 232 252
30-42 25-39 Completion Percentage 20-33 19-29
24 20 First Downs 21 22
2.4% 4% Sacks Allowed 9.1% 5.8%

Position by Position Edge

What's this?
Patriots Bills
.90 QB/WR’s vs. DB's
RB’s vs. LB’s .62
.02 OL's vs. DL's
.16 DL’s vs. OL's
.06 LB’s vs. RB’s
.15 DB's vs. QB/WR's
.20 ST's vs. ST's
.82 K vs. K
2.40 Coaches vs. Coaches
4.70 Pts vs. Pts .62
Positional Edge Awarded to
Patriots by 4.08

Team Leaders

What's this?
Patriots Bills
Passing Leaders
T. Brady 76-101-1004-8-0 T. Taylor 117-193-1297-9-2
J. Garoppolo 42-61-498-4-0
Rushing Leaders
L. Blount 143-566-4.0-8 L. McCoy 112-598-5.3-6
J. White 24-92-3.8-0 T. Taylor 41-271-6.6-2
Receiving Leaders
R. Gronkowski 17-375-22.1-2 C. Clay 24-268-11.2-0
M. Bennett 27-367-13.6-4 M. Goodwin 12-258-21.5-3

Last Five Years Meetings

What's this?
Year Team Rank Line Score FD Rushing Comp-Att-Yds TO’s
2015 BUF - 44 32 23 27-160 23-30-242
NE - E 40 27 15-56 38-59-466 1
2015 BUF - 48 13 16 30-94 20-36-233
NE - -7 20 18 22-85 20-39-277 0
2014 BUF - -1 32 19 23-68 24-38-268
NE - 44.5 37 22 27-50 27-37-346 3
2014 BUF - 44 17 16 33-104 16-23-164
NE - -5.5 9 14 25-116 18-33-144 1
2013 BUF - 51 21 15 34-136 18-27-150
NE - -10 23 26 34-158 29-52-273 -1

Phil's Computer Projected Box Score

What's this?
Patriots Bills
128 yds Projected Rushing 133 yds
241 yds Projected Passing 208 yds
369 yds Projected Yardage Total 341 yds
22 pts Projected Final Score 21 pts
Phil's Ratings
Bills by 1.5
Phil's Game Grade
Bills by .3

Phil's Forecast

What's this?

BEST BET: *
Weather: Cloudy, 60% chance of rain, Winds 8-10 mph - "The Tom Brady Scorched Earth Tour" is now in full effect following yet another convincing win with him under center LW against the Steelers. The Patriots now head to BUF to take on a Bills team that not only gave NE their only loss of the season, but also did it shocking fashion (NE down to 3rd string QB) with a 16-0 shutout (first home shutout s/1993). While my computer is calling for a narrow 1 point win by NE, it's worth mentioning that the Bills offense will clearly lack production in the running game with McCoy's status uncertain as of presstime. The Patriots should clearly get the job done by more than a TD in this one.

Bills Game Log

What's this?
Date Foe Foe Record Foe Conf. Record Score W/L
09/11/2016 Saints 0-0 0-0 35-34 L
09/18/2016 Giants 1-0 0-0 13-16 L
09/26/2016 Saints 0-2 0-0 45-32 L
10/16/2016 Saints 1-3 0-1 38-41 L
10/23/2016 Chiefs 3-2 2-0 21-27 L
10/30/2016 Saints 2-4 1-1 20-25 L
11/06/2016 49ers 1-6 1-2 41-23 L
11/13/2016 Saints 4-4 1-1 25-23 L
11/17/2016 Panthers 3-6 0-3 20-23 L
11/27/2016 Saints 4-6 1-2 21-49 L
12/04/2016 Saints 5-6 1-2 28-13 L
12/11/2016 Buccaneers 7-5 2-1 11-16 L
12/18/2016 Cardinals 5-7 2-1 48-41 L

Phil Steele Opponent Ranking

What's this?
Team Score Off Def ST
Saints 35/34 27 25 14
Giants 13/16 11 23 7
Saints 45/32 9 32 30
Saints 38/41 3 32 23
Chiefs 21/27 14 7 21
Saints 20/25 2 31 17
49ers 41/23 32 32 27
Saints 25/23 #2 #31 #19
Panthers 20/23 #16 #13 #25
Saints 21/49 #2 #28 #3
Saints 28/13 #1 #29 #24
Buccaneers 11/16 #9 #7 #15
Cardinals 48/41 #11 #6 #32

Offensive Game Log

What's this?
Team Score FD RA-RY YPC Comp-Att Yds Pass Sks
Saints 35/34 25 26-167 6.4 24-38 319 0
Giants 13/16 16 13-41 3.2 29-44 247 2
Saints 45/32 26 31-217 7 20-30 225 2
Saints 38/41 32 27-103 3.8 27-47 303 2
Chiefs 21/27 27 22-104 4.7 37-48 359 1
Saints 20/25 15 17-74 4.4 23-36 285 1
49ers 41/23 29 42-248 5.9 28-39 323 1
Saints 25/23 24 37-103 2.8 25-40 234 6
Panthers 20/23 28 25-107 4.3 35-44 264 3
Saints 21/49 13 17-69 4.1 20-32 178 3
Saints 28/13 24 23-85 3.7 30-42 337 2
Buccaneers 11/16 14 16-48 2.9 25-41 248 1
Cardinals 48/41 33 32-130 4.1 27-48 358 3
Overall 18 29-152 5.3 19-26 175 9.3%
Conf. 19 24-96 3.9 25-28 250 7.1%
home 20 32-202 6.4 17-28 191 8.3%

Defensive Game Log

What's this?
Team Score FD RA-RY YPC Comp-Att Yds Pass Sks
Saints 35/34 27 22-88 4 28-42 419 1
Giants 13/16 22 32-64 2 32-41 353 2
Saints 45/32 32 23-115 5 36-54 359 2
Saints 38/41 23 21-63 3 34-49 460 1
Chiefs 21/27 20 28-112 4 17-24 214 0
Saints 20/25 28 35-123 3.5 27-35 252 2
49ers 41/23 19 17-93 5.5 24-39 393 1
Saints 25/23 19 21-80 3.8 21-29 293 1
Panthers 20/23 17 27-50 1.9 14-33 173 2
Saints 21/49 27 32-209 6.5 29-37 346 2
Saints 28/13 20 12-50 4.2 31-44 319 1
Buccaneers 11/16 21 35-104 3 16-26 166 2
Cardinals 48/41 26 15-116 7.7 28-40 309 1
Overall 21 30-129 4.4 20-33 232 9.1%
Conf. 22 33-156 4.7 19-29 252 5.8%
home 23 29-123 4.3 21-38 257 8%

Net Yards

What's this?
Team Yards FD TO's
Saints -21 -2 1
Giants -129 -6 3
Saints -32 -6 2
Saints -117 9 -1
Chiefs 137 7 -2
Saints -16 -13 0
49ers 85 10 4
Saints -36 5 2
Panthers 148 11 -2
Saints -308 -14 -1
Saints 53 4 3
Buccaneers 24 -7 -3
Cardinals 63 7 1
Overall -33.6 0 9
Conf. -62 -3.7 2
home 13 -2.7 4

Patriots Game Log

What's this?
Date Foe Foe Record Foe Conf. Record Score W/L
09/12/2016 49ers 0-0 0-0 0-28 L
09/18/2016 Rams 0-1 0-1 3-9 L
09/25/2016 Buccaneers 1-1 1-0 37-32 L
10/09/2016 Rams 3-1 3-1 30-19 L
10/16/2016 Lions 2-3 0-2 28-31 L
10/23/2016 Rams 3-3 2-1 17-10 L
11/06/2016 Rams 3-4 2-1 13-10 L
11/13/2016 Jets 3-6 1-1 9-6 L
11/20/2016 Rams 4-5 2-1 14-10 L
11/27/2016 Saints 4-6 1-2 21-49 L
12/04/2016 Rams 4-7 2-1 26-10 W
12/11/2016 Rams 4-8 2-1 42-14 L
12/15/2016 Seahawks 8-4 1-1 3-24 L

Phil Steele Opponent Rankings

What's this?
Team Score Off Def ST
49ers 0/28 31 26 31
Rams 3/9 31 15 6
Buccaneers 37/32 10 15 26
Rams 30/19 32 14 2
Lions 28/31 24 26 1
Rams 17/10 31 14 3
Rams 13/10 31 11 4
Jets 9/6 #23 #13 #25
Rams 14/10 #32 #6 #4
Saints 21/49 #2 #28 #3
Rams 26/10 #32 #9 #3
Rams 42/14 #31 #10 #4
Seahawks 3/24 #17 #2 #17

Offensive Game Log

What's this?
Team Score FD RA-RY YPC Comp-Att Yds Pass Sks
49ers 0/28 10 23-65 2.8 17-35 120 2
Rams 3/9 17 24-67 2.8 22-35 239 2
Buccaneers 37/32 18 33-137 4.2 14-26 183 1
Rams 30/19 15 27-193 7.1 12-23 112 2
Lions 28/31 23 22-76 3.5 27-32 311 1
Rams 17/10 13 20-36 1.8 24-37 196 0
Rams 13/10 16 25-59 2.4 20-32 185 5
Jets 9/6 16 34-125 3.7 17-30 155 3
Rams 14/10 17 19-98 5.2 24-34 142 4
Saints 21/49 13 17-69 4.1 20-32 178 3
Rams 26/10 20 29-133 4.6 33-46 269 0
Rams 42/14 18 25-66 2.6 18-30 220 2
Seahawks 3/24 13 11-47 4.3 18-35 136 4
Overall 21 31-123 4 22-31 261 5.5%
Conf. 21 30-126 4.2 21-32 246 7.9%
away 21 32-115 3.6 24-33 294 3%

Defensive Game Log

What's this?
Team Score FD RA-RY YPC Comp-Att Yds Pass Sks
49ers 0/28 28 42-150 3.6 22-35 170 0
Rams 3/9 17 25-64 2.6 19-30 219 3
Buccaneers 37/32 30 22-83 3.8 26-58 389 2
Rams 30/19 23 29-102 3.5 21-31 243 4
Lions 28/31 20 26-83 3.2 23-31 265 1
Rams 17/10 20 20-74 3.7 32-53 271 3
Rams 13/10 18 17-59 3.5 27-46 280 4
Jets 9/6 17 25-139 5.6 19-32 157 1
Rams 14/10 12 28-102 3.6 17-31 125 1
Saints 21/49 27 32-209 6.5 29-37 346 2
Rams 26/10 7 13-36 2.8 14-32 125 4
Rams 42/14 21 23-104 4.5 24-41 208 3
Seahawks 3/24 19 30-72 2.4 19-26 227 2
Overall 20 24-92 3.8 25-39 259 4%
Conf. 24 24-102 4.3 30-42 317 2.4%
away 18 21-71 3.4 24-40 256 4.2%

Net Yards

What's this?
Team Yards FD TO's
49ers -135 -18 -1
Rams 23 0 -1
Buccaneers -152 -12 0
Rams -40 -8 3
Lions 39 3 -1
Rams -113 -7 2
Rams -95 -2 1
Jets -16 -1 1
Rams 13 5 0
Saints -308 -14 -1
Rams 241 13 2
Rams -26 -3 5
Seahawks -116 -6 1
Overall 32.6 0 3
Conf. -47.5 -2.5 2
away 81.7 3 -2

By Game Yardage Leaders

What's this?
Opponent Passing Leaders
49ers C. Keenum 17-35-130-0-2
Rams R. Wilson 22-35-254-0-0
Buccaneers C. Keenum 14-26-190-2-1
Rams
Lions
Rams
Rams
Jets
Rams
Saints
Rams
Rams
Seahawks

By Game Yardage Leaders

What's this?
Opponent Rushing Leaders
49ers T. Gurley 17-47-2.8-0
Rams C. Michael 10-60-0.0-0
Buccaneers T. Gurley 27-85-3.1-2
Rams
Lions
Rams
Rams
Jets
Rams
Saints
Rams
Rams
Seahawks

By Game Yardage Leaders

What's this?
Opponent Receiving Leaders
49ers K. Britt 4-67-16.8-0
Rams T. Lockett 4-99-0.0-0
Buccaneers T. Austin 5-82-16.4-1
Rams
Lions
Rams
Rams
Jets
Rams
Saints
Rams
Rams
Seahawks

Phil's Pick

Bills 20

Patriots 30